Core Viewpoint - The market is currently focused on the high probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December, which is nearing 90%, a significant increase from about 30% three weeks ago [1] Group 1: Federal Reserve Actions - The end of quantitative tightening by the Federal Reserve raises questions about the potential for a resumption of balance sheet expansion to enhance market liquidity [1] Group 2: Market Sentiment and Performance - Following the easing interest rate environment, the U.S. stock market appears to be recovering from concerns over an "AI bubble," preparing for a year-end "Santa Rally" [1] - Investor sentiment indicators were previously low, with the S&P 500 index falling below its 50-day moving average and significant selling by clients; however, implied volatility has decreased, and long positions are being replenished, bringing the S&P 500 index close to its previous highs [1]
美联储降息扩表倒计时，交易员备战“圣诞反弹”
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-12-10 11:02