香港业内人士：2026年本地住宅市场复苏势头有望延续

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the recovery momentum of Hong Kong's residential market is expected to continue into 2026, following a significant turnaround in 2025 [1][2] - The recovery in the residential market is driven by a combination of global economic conditions, local supply-demand changes, and policy benefits, with a notable increase in housing transactions in 2025 [1] - As of November 2025, the transaction volume for new private residential properties reached 18,800 units, with an expected annual total surpassing 20,000 units, while the secondary market is projected to reach 39,000 transactions for the year [1] Group 2 - Demand-side factors include talent attraction policies such as the "High-end Talent Pass Scheme" and the "Quality Talent Admission Scheme," which are drawing various talents and their families to Hong Kong, alongside an increase in non-local students creating rigid housing demand [2] - The residential rental index has seen a 4% increase year-to-date, and lower borrowing costs are encouraging investors and prompting renters to consider purchasing, thus supporting both transaction volume and property prices [2] - Despite some signs of recovery in commercial real estate, the overall market remains sluggish, and increased public housing supply may pose challenges to the residential market [2]