欧洲央行行长拉加德：下周可能上调经济增长预期

Group 1 - The European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde indicated that the upcoming forecasts may present a more optimistic outlook for economic growth [1][4] - Lagarde noted that the Eurozone has demonstrated unexpected resilience in the face of US tariff pressures, emphasizing that the EU has not taken retaliatory measures, the euro has not depreciated, and the labor market remains strong [1][4] - Recent predictive work has led to an upward revision of expectations, with Lagarde suggesting that further adjustments may occur in December [1][4] Group 2 - Policymakers are increasingly confident that borrowing costs can be maintained at current levels for the foreseeable future, partly due to economic resilience [3][6] - The third quarter GDP growth was reported at 0.3%, exceeding initial estimates [3][6] - Lithuania's central bank governor Gediminas Simkus stated that there is no need for further rate cuts, reflecting increased confidence that inflation will not fall significantly below the ECB's target [3][6] - ECB Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel expressed approval of investor bets that the next rate action by the central bank will be an increase [3][6] - These statements have led investors to no longer expect further rate cuts from the ECB next year, with a global trend emerging as markets anticipate the end of rate-cutting cycles from the US to Australia, resulting in global bond yields rising to their highest levels since 2009 [3][6] - Lagarde emphasized that with approximately 2% inflation recorded and a 2% medium-term forecast, the economy is in a good state and is "very close to potential levels" [3][6]