FIBOCOM(SZ:300638) 智通财经网·2025-12-10 13:49Core Viewpoint - Guanghe Tong (00638) experienced a significant drop of 11.72% on its first trading day, breaking the record of 16 consecutive new stocks in Hong Kong that had risen on their debut, indicating a volatile market response despite increasing southbound capital holdings [1] Group 1: Initial Trading Performance - The stock price of Guanghe Tong fell below its issue price during the dark trading phase prior to its official listing, signaling potential investor concerns [2] - On its first trading day, Guanghe Tong had a turnover rate of 41.29%, with over 40% of investors choosing to sell, resulting in a total sell-off amounting to 307 million HKD [3] - The stock continued to decline by 6.95% on the second trading day, but the turnover rate decreased to 9.99%, indicating a reduction in panic selling [3] Group 2: Market Dynamics and Support - After two days of rapid decline, Guanghe Tong entered a "support" phase, aided by the main underwriter, CITIC Securities, which began repurchasing shares [4] - During this support phase, the stock price rose by 10.25% on the third trading day, reflecting some investor confidence returning [4][6] - The stock price reached a high of 20.66 HKD during this phase, nearing its issue price of 21.5 HKD, but subsequently entered a "correction" phase after the stabilization period ended [6] Group 3: Southbound Capital Involvement - Southbound capital, referred to as "mysterious funds," has been steadily increasing its holdings in Guanghe Tong, reaching 8.3% by December 8 [1][11] - By December 4, southbound capital held 1244.72 million shares, indicating a strong accumulation strategy during the stock's downturn [11] - The rapid increase in southbound capital holdings suggests a strategic positioning for potential future price recovery, as the stock remains undervalued compared to its A-share counterpart [13][14]