QCOM vs. ASTS: Which Wireless Innovator is the Smarter Bet for 2026?

Core Insights - Qualcomm and AST SpaceMobile are significant players in the wireless communications ecosystem, with Qualcomm focusing on high-performance chip designs and AST SpaceMobile developing a global cellular broadband network in space [1][2]. Qualcomm Overview - Qualcomm is well-positioned for long-term revenue growth, driven by strong 5G traction and a diversified revenue stream, with innovative product launches in mobile chipsets [4]. - The company is enhancing its Snapdragon mobile platforms, which support advanced features for augmented reality, virtual reality, and superior connectivity [4]. - Qualcomm is transitioning from a mobile communications firm to a connected processor company, gaining traction in EDGE networking and vehicle-to-everything (V2X) communication systems [5]. - Despite its advancements, Qualcomm faces competition from Intel in the AI PC market and from Samsung and MediaTek in the smartphone market, with potential impacts from U.S.-China trade tensions [6]. AST SpaceMobile Overview - AST SpaceMobile is preparing to launch BlueBird 6, a next-generation satellite that will significantly increase data capacity and size compared to previous models [7]. - The company plans to deploy 45-60 satellites by the end of 2026 to establish a space-based mobile network, enhancing cellular coverage in areas lacking terrestrial networks [8][9]. - AST SpaceMobile's service connects directly to standard smartphones, filling coverage gaps and partnering with major carriers like AT&T and Verizon [10]. - The company faces challenges from macroeconomic conditions and competition from established players like SpaceX's Starlink, which may impact its financial performance [11]. Financial Performance and Estimates - Qualcomm's fiscal 2026 sales are expected to grow by 3.2%, with EPS estimates trending upward by 2.1% over the past 60 days [12]. - AST SpaceMobile's 2025 sales are projected to grow by 1142%, but EPS estimates indicate a decline of 60.6%, with a downward trend of 8.2% over the past 60 days [12]. - Over the past year, Qualcomm's stock has increased by 10.2%, while AST SpaceMobile has surged by 209.2% [16]. Valuation Comparison - Qualcomm appears more attractive from a valuation perspective, trading at a price/sales ratio of 4.13, significantly lower than AST SpaceMobile's 107.22 [16]. - Both companies are rated with a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), but Qualcomm is considered a better investment option for 2026 due to its steady revenue growth compared to AST SpaceMobile's volatility [19].