Core Insights - Chewy has experienced significant stock underperformance, down approximately 54% over the last five years, while the S&P 500 has returned 87% since November 2020 [1][2] - Despite challenges, Chewy is a profitable online retailer focusing on high-margin services, positioning itself for potential growth [2][8] Revenue Growth and Customer Loyalty - Chewy's revenue growth was previously in double-digit percentages until 2023, facing increased competition from major retailers like Walmart and Amazon [4] - The company benefits from strong customer loyalty, with over 80% of sales driven by its Autoship program, leading to a recent 9% year-over-year revenue increase [5][4] Market Position and Industry Potential - Chewy operates in a $157 billion pet industry, which has shown steady growth, indicating room for multiple companies to succeed [7] - The company’s exclusive focus on pet products differentiates it from larger retailers, enhancing its competitive position [4][7] Margin Expansion and Future Growth - Chewy is expanding into high-margin services such as Chewy+ membership, pet healthcare, and private label products, which could drive higher earnings [8] - Analysts project Chewy's operating margin to increase from 0.9% to 4.6% by fiscal 2030, potentially leading to annualized earnings growth of 18% [9] Stock Valuation and Investment Potential - The stock is currently trading at a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 22, suggesting attractive upside potential [10] - If Chewy meets analysts' earnings expectations, the stock could potentially double in value over the next five years [10]
Has Chewy (CHWY) Stock Been Good For Investors?