We're expecting 2026 U.S. GDP growth of 2.2%, says Mastercard's Michelle Meyer

Economic Outlook - The US economy is expected to show improved performance in 2026, with a projected GDP growth of 2.2% [2][15] - The economy is adapting and becoming more dynamic, influenced by factors such as AI and trade realignment [2][5] Consumer Engagement - Consumer spending is actively engaged, with Black Friday spending increasing by 4.1% year-over-year and a forecast of mid 3% growth for the overall holiday season [4][3] - The consumer's ability to navigate economic shifts, including trade changes, has been notable [5][7] Inflation Trends - Moderate inflation is anticipated for the next year, with a split story across different sectors [7][9] - While some sectors may experience disinflation, overall inflation is expected to remain contained [8][9] Labor Market Dynamics - The labor market shows disparities, with lower-income tiers experiencing slower wage growth compared to higher-income populations [12][13] - The health of the labor market and household balance sheets will be crucial in understanding consumer spending patterns [12][14] Investment in Technology - There is ongoing investment in the digital economy and AI, despite some slowdown in job creation [10][11] - The reallocation of capital towards technology indicates a bullish outlook for the economy [10][11]