白银历史性时刻:首次冲上60美元/盎司
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao·2025-12-10 17:57

Core Viewpoint - The price of silver has surged, breaking historical records, driven by expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and tight supply conditions in the silver market [1][2][3]. Group 1: Price Movements - London silver prices surpassed $60 per ounce for the first time, reaching over $61 per ounce, with a maximum daily increase of over 1% [1]. - As of December 10, silver has seen a cumulative increase of 111% this year, significantly outperforming gold, which rose approximately 60% in the same period [1]. Group 2: Economic Factors - The expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve is a key driver of the rising silver prices, supported by a series of weak economic data from the U.S. [2]. - The market has already priced in the likelihood of another rate cut by the Federal Reserve, with comments from potential new chairperson suggesting a significant easing of monetary policy [3]. Group 3: Supply Dynamics - The tight supply of silver remains a critical factor, with over 25,000 tons of silver locked in ETFs, contributing to the scarcity in the London market [5]. - The upcoming delivery month for silver at the COMEX exchange has led to increased demand for physical silver, further tightening market liquidity [5]. Group 4: Investment Sentiment - Investment sentiment in silver has become more rational compared to the previous "hoarding" phase, with some consumers feeling the current prices are too high [6]. - Analysts predict that if industrial and investment demand exceeds expectations, silver prices could potentially reach $65 per ounce by early 2026, with some forecasts suggesting prices could hit $100 per ounce by the end of next year [6].