Paramount's Hostile Bid Is a Direct Shot at Netflix. What Does It Mean for the Stocks?

Core Viewpoint - Paramount Skydance has made a hostile takeover bid for Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) valued at $108 billion, directly targeting shareholders after WBD's board agreed to sell to Netflix for $83 billion [1][4]. Group 1: Paramount's Offer - Paramount is offering $30 per share for WBD, which translates to an enterprise value of $108.4 billion in an all-cash tender offer [6]. - Paramount's CEO David Ellison claims their public offer provides superior value and a quicker path to completion compared to Netflix's offer [5][6]. - The offer is positioned as more attractive to WBD shareholders, especially considering the potential struggles of the spinoff company that would consist of declining businesses [6][7]. Group 2: Netflix's Position - Netflix's accepted offer values WBD's equity at $72 billion, or approximately $82.7 billion including debt, with a cash component of $23.25 per share and $4.50 in Netflix stock [6]. - If the Netflix deal is blocked by regulators, they would incur a termination fee of $5.8 billion, while WBD would owe Netflix $2.8 billion if they back out [6]. - The hostile takeover by Paramount complicates Netflix's acquisition, as it may face regulatory challenges due to its larger market power compared to Paramount [8]. Group 3: Market Reactions - WBD's stock price has increased since the announcement of the Netflix deal, indicating a positive market reaction [10]. - There is speculation that if WBD shareholders accept Paramount's offer, Netflix may respond with a higher bid, potentially increasing costs for Netflix [9]. - The current market dynamics suggest that WBD shareholders might prefer to accept Paramount's offer, especially if regulatory hurdles arise for the Netflix deal [11].