Can Sweetgreen Stock Bounce Back in 2026?

Core Viewpoint - Sweetgreen faced significant challenges in 2025, leading to a 78% decline in stock value year-to-date, but there are indications that the company's difficulties may be temporary, presenting potential for recovery in 2026 [3]. Sales Performance - Same-store sales at Sweetgreen fell by 9.5% in the third quarter of 2025, highlighting the operational challenges the company is experiencing [6]. - Comparisons for same-store sales are expected to improve in 2026, as the company will be comparing against a year with positive sales [6]. Profitability Outlook - Sweetgreen's GAAP operating loss widened in 2025, and the company anticipates reporting an adjusted EBITDA loss after achieving profitability in 2024 [9]. - Management is taking steps to strengthen the balance sheet, including the sale of Spyce and scaling back on new store openings, planning for 15-20 net new stores in 2026 compared to 37 in 2025 [9]. Cost Management - The company needs to improve cost control to enhance profitability, especially if same-store sales do not grow significantly [10]. - The stock's significant decline may provide an opportunity for a rebound if the company can effectively manage costs and improve its economic model [10].