世行上调中国增长预期！权威机构连投“信任票”

Core Insights - International organizations have expressed confidence in China's economic outlook, with the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) both raising their growth forecasts for 2025 [1][4]. Group 1: World Bank Insights - The World Bank has increased its 2025 economic growth forecast for China by 0.4 percentage points compared to the previous report [1]. - The report highlights that China's proactive fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy are supporting domestic consumption and investment [1]. - Future economic growth in China is expected to rely more on domestic demand, with structural reforms in the social security system and a more predictable business environment being crucial for boosting confidence [1][3]. Group 2: IMF Insights - The IMF has projected a 5% economic growth rate for China in 2025, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from its previous report in October [4]. - The upward revision is attributed to macroeconomic stimulus measures and lower-than-expected tariffs on Chinese exports [4]. - China's economic growth of 5.2% in the first three quarters of the year ranks among the highest among major economies, with the total economic output reaching 35.5 trillion yuan in the third quarter, surpassing the projected total for the world's third-largest economy in 2024 [4]. Group 3: Upcoming Economic Policy - The upcoming Central Economic Work Conference is expected to clarify how China will navigate complex domestic and international challenges as it embarks on the 14th Five-Year Plan [2][5].