Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-12-11 03:43Core Viewpoint - The aviation sector is experiencing a rebound, with notable increases in stock prices for major airlines in China, including China Southern Airlines and Air China, as competition in the international route market intensifies in December [1][7]. Group 1: Market Trends - As of December 10, several airlines, including Eastern Airlines, Southern Airlines, Hainan Airlines, and Juneyao Airlines, have opened, increased, or resumed international routes, targeting the peak travel periods of New Year's, winter vacation, and Spring Festival [3][9]. - The competition in the international route market is heating up, indicating a strategic move by airlines to capture passenger flow during high-demand periods [3][9]. Group 2: Financial Outlook - Guotai Junan Securities has maintained an "overweight" rating on airline oil transportation, predicting a significant reduction in losses for the airline industry in Q4 2025 and an overall turnaround for the year [3][9]. - The report suggests that demand growth will drive ticket prices and profitability upward and that this trend is sustainable, recommending a contrarian approach to investing in the super cycle [3][9]. - Despite a slight correction in oil transportation rates, they remain at high levels, and the impact of the Russia-Ukraine negotiations is expected to be limited, with an optimistic outlook for future industry performance exceeding expectations [3][9].