美国丹佛大学教授：美国对华“新冷战”战略宣告失败

Core Viewpoint - The evolution of US-China relations has transitioned from "new cold war" rhetoric during Trump's first term to a phase characterized by "strategic stability" in his second term, highlighting a significant shift in diplomatic focus towards trade and negotiation rather than ideological confrontation [1][2][9]. Group 1: Changes in US-China Relations - The "new cold war" narrative emerged post-2009 financial crisis, with the perception that the US was increasingly reliant on China, leading to a shift in US policy towards competition [4][5]. - Trump's first term marked a clear pivot to "great power competition," fundamentally altering the US approach to China, which was previously characterized by engagement and cooperation [5][6]. - The Biden administration has maintained the "Washington new consensus," indicating a bipartisan agreement on viewing China as a competitor, with no significant changes in policy direction [5][6]. Group 2: Trump's Second Term Dynamics - In Trump's second term, there has been a notable shift in focus from ideological battles to trade negotiations, with media reports suggesting a more conciliatory approach towards China [7][8]. - The concept of "strategic stability" has emerged, indicating a stalemate where neither side can decisively undermine the other, leading to a search for compromise [3][9]. - Trump's second term is characterized by a departure from the hardline stance of his first term, with a focus on practical trade discussions rather than ideological differences [9][10]. Group 3: Implications for Future Relations - The current state of "strategic stability" suggests that previous strategies of confrontation may have been flawed, with a recognition of China's resilience and a need for negotiation [9][10]. - The potential for continued diplomatic engagement exists, but the stability of this phase is uncertain due to the influence of traditional hawkish elements within the US administration [10][11]. - Public sentiment in the US reflects a desire for reduced international intervention, indicating a shift in priorities that could affect future US-China relations [10][11].