Core Viewpoint - SpaceX is not merely a space transportation company but is engaged in a significant "physics arbitrage," aiming to monopolize the future computing environment and financial transaction speed through its Starlink and orbital edge computing initiatives [3][28]. Group 1: Starlink and Speed Monopoly - Starlink has 8.5 million broadband users, but its true value lies in monopolizing speed, which is crucial for high-frequency trading [5][29]. - Light in fiber optics is limited to two-thirds of the speed of light in a vacuum, while Starlink's laser inter-satellite links operate at full speed, providing a competitive edge in financial transactions [6][30]. - The valuation of $1.5 trillion for SpaceX reflects the purchase of a "private highway toll" for the global financial system rather than just rockets [7][30]. Group 2: Orbital Edge Computing - SpaceX's valuation multiple of 65x surpasses Boeing's 0.7x because it is not just selling hardware but is attempting to dominate the future of computing [10][33]. - Orbital edge computing benefits from natural cooling and unlimited solar power, creating a "data offshore paradise" that is not subject to traditional legal jurisdictions [11][35]. - The IPO funding will not only support satellite launches but will transform cloud computing into a space-based model [15][36]. Group 3: SpaceX as a Sovereign Entity - If SpaceX reaches a market value of $1.5 trillion, Elon Musk's personal stake could be worth $630 billion, positioning SpaceX as an independent economic entity [19][41]. - SpaceX operates beyond traditional geopolitical constraints, effectively becoming the 198th country on Earth, with its infrastructure floating above national borders [22][42]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The upcoming IPO in 2026 represents a critical moment for traditional capital markets to understand the new paradigm SpaceX is creating [43][44]. - Unlike traditional industries that took decades to achieve similar valuations, SpaceX has reached its market value in just 24 years by "mining data" [44][45]. - The focus should not be on Mars colonization but rather on the transformative business opportunities in the vacuum above Earth, which will redefine global operations [25][46].
全人类都误判了马斯克的终局,Space X根本不是一家火箭公司
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-12-11 06:07