香港贸发局调查：预计明年香港出口将同比增长8%至9%

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Trade Development Council (HKTDC) forecasts an 8% to 9% year-on-year growth in Hong Kong's exports for next year, driven primarily by strong demand for AI-related electronic products [1] Group 1: Export Confidence Index - The current and expected export confidence indices in Hong Kong have both declined quarter-on-quarter, with the current index dropping from 53.3 in Q3 to 51.4, and the expected index falling from 54.3 to 51.9, yet remaining above the 50-point mark indicating expansion [1] - 53.2% of surveyed exporters believe that the demand for AI or new technology-related electronic consumer goods will be a major driver of business growth next year [1] Group 2: Trade Agreements and Tariffs - The global export outlook is expected to become clearer next year, primarily benefiting from a trade agreement reached between China and the U.S. in November, which has removed U.S. tariffs as a major concern for Hong Kong exporters [1] - The tariff rates on goods exported from mainland China to the U.S. have decreased compared to previous levels, allowing many Chinese suppliers to maintain competitiveness similar to their Southeast Asian counterparts [1]