特朗普政府施压乌克兰“割地求和”，顿巴斯“堡垒带”成俄乌谈判死结

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing efforts led by the U.S. to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict face significant obstacles, particularly regarding territorial concessions, which could derail any potential agreement [1][8]. Importance of the Donbas Region - The Donbas region, comprising Donetsk and Luhansk, is crucial for Ukraine's defense against Russian advances, with its control being politically significant for Kyiv [1][9]. - The area is approximately the size of West Virginia and has historically been a center of industry, making it strategically important [1][9]. - The Kremlin aims to negotiate control over this region, which has been a focal point of military efforts since 2014 [9]. Military Developments - Russian forces claim to have captured significant portions of Pokrovsk and have reached the southern entrance of Konstantinivka, prompting Ukrainian military leadership to order partial withdrawals [2][10]. - Ukraine invested over $1 billion in defensive structures in the Donbas last year, indicating the region's importance in the ongoing conflict [2][9]. U.S. Pressure for Peace - The Trump administration has been pushing for Ukraine to accept land swaps as part of any peace agreement, suggesting that ceding 25% of the remaining territory in eastern Donetsk could lead to a fair peace [3][10]. - U.S. officials believe that Ukraine lacks leverage and may face greater losses on the battlefield if it refuses to make territorial concessions [3][10]. Ukrainian Stance - Ukrainian President Zelensky has firmly stated that Ukraine will not surrender territory, emphasizing legal and moral grounds against such actions [4][12]. - There is widespread concern among analysts and officials that any weak agreement could create internal divisions within Ukraine and open doors for further Russian advances [4][11]. Proposed Peace Framework - The early draft of Trump's 28-point plan includes establishing a neutral, demilitarized buffer zone in the Donetsk region, which would be recognized internationally as Russian territory [12]. - The proposal has faced significant backlash from Ukrainian officials and European diplomats, indicating a lack of support for the suggested terms [12]. Historical Context - Previous agreements, such as the Minsk Protocols, have failed to provide lasting peace or security for Ukraine, leading to skepticism about new proposals [14]. - Analysts warn that any new agreements must clearly define the technical aspects of demilitarization and territorial control to avoid repeating past mistakes [13][14].