信达证券:首次覆盖小菜园(00999)予“买入”评级 目标价为13.02港元
智通财经网·2025-12-11 09:16

Core Viewpoint - The company, Xiaocaiyuan (00999), is a leader in the affordable Chinese dining sector, focusing on providing a "delicious and inexpensive" dining experience that aligns with current consumer demand for value for money. The company is in a rapid expansion phase, which is expected to drive steady revenue growth despite a decline in same-store sales due to lower per capita spending. The company's robust supply chain and optimized single-store model are anticipated to enhance operational efficiency [1]. Company Overview - Xiaocaiyuan is recognized as a leader in the affordable Chinese dining market in China, primarily under the brand "Xiaocaiyuan," and also operates five other brands including "Cai Shou," "Guan Di," and "Fu Xing Lou." As of June 2025, the company has 672 Xiaocaiyuan stores. According to Frost & Sullivan, Xiaocaiyuan ranks first in market share at 0.2% among brands in the affordable Chinese dining sector with an average customer price range of 50-100 RMB [2]. Store Expansion and Performance - The company has entered a rapid store expansion phase starting in 2023, planning to open over 100 new stores annually. By November 2025, the total number of direct-operated stores (including those pending opening) is expected to reach 816, with a target of approximately 1,000 stores by the end of 2026. New stores show strong cash flow performance, with a typical break-even period of 1-2 months. As of August 2024, the average investment recovery period for stores that have recouped their investment is about 13.8 months. The operating profit margin (OPM) for stores has shown strong performance, with figures of 15.9%, 14.2%, 19.7%, and 17.8% for the first eight months of 2021, 2022, 2023, and 2024 respectively, and is projected to exceed 20% [3]. Supply Chain Efficiency - The company has established a comprehensive supply chain system that includes centralized procurement, a central kitchen, full cold chain logistics, and digital management. A central kitchen in Anhui allows store employees to reduce time and effort on labor-intensive tasks, enabling quicker preparation of dishes and enhancing operational efficiency and profitability. A new central kitchen is under construction in Ma'anshan. The company has implemented a full cold chain logistics system for precise daily delivery to all stores, ensuring the freshness of ingredients. The proportion of raw materials and consumables to revenue has decreased from 34.5% in 2021 to 29.5% in the first half of 2025 due to centralized procurement and strong bargaining power [4]. Standardized Operations - The company continuously improves its standardized management and operational model, which includes standardization of dishes, services, supply chain integration, regular training, food safety and quality control, and store expansion. This standardization supports rapid expansion and cost reduction [5].

Cinda Securities-信达证券:首次覆盖小菜园(00999)予“买入”评级 目标价为13.02港元 - Reportify