杨德龙：中央经济工作会议为“十五五”良好开局奠定坚实的基础

Group 1: Economic Policy Direction - The Central Economic Work Conference outlined a systematic deployment for China's macroeconomic operation and policy direction for 2026, emphasizing stability and quality improvement through the interplay of existing and new policies [1][2] - The conference highlighted the need for macro policies to be more forward-looking, targeted, and coordinated, aiming to expand domestic demand and optimize supply structure [2][7] - A proactive fiscal policy is expected to continue, maintaining necessary fiscal deficit levels and expenditure intensity while optimizing the fiscal expenditure structure [1][4] Group 2: Capital Market and Economic Growth - The capital market is deemed crucial for its wealth effect and expectation management, with a stable stock market expected to enhance residents' property income and boost consumption confidence [2][6] - The conference indicated that the capital market's healthy development could reinforce the positive cycle of the economy, supporting a slow and steady growth pattern for A-shares in 2026 [11][12] - The current market conditions are influenced by the structural shift of household savings into the capital market, supported by policy measures enhancing the capital market's functions [11] Group 3: Consumer and Innovation Focus - Expanding domestic demand remains a key focus, with initiatives aimed at boosting consumption and increasing rural and urban residents' income [3][8] - Innovation is recognized as a core driver of economic development, with plans to foster new growth drivers and develop international technology innovation centers in major regions [3][8] - The conference emphasized the importance of developing new productive forces in emerging sectors such as artificial intelligence, solid-state batteries, and biomedicine [3][5] Group 4: Structural Reforms and Risk Management - Structural reforms are to be deepened to enhance high-quality development, particularly in industries facing overcapacity, promoting optimization in sectors like photovoltaics and electric vehicles [3][4] - The conference stressed the need to mitigate risks in real estate and local government debt, with policies aimed at stabilizing market expectations and ensuring sustainable fiscal operations [4][10] - Future industries such as quantum technology and hydrogen energy are identified as new economic growth points, with mechanisms proposed to support small and medium enterprises in becoming competitive [5][10]