乘联分会秘书长崔东树：2025年汽车以旧换新规模预计超1800亿元

Core Viewpoint - The automotive market is expected to experience significant growth in 2025 due to strong incentives for vehicle trade-ins and tax benefits for new energy vehicles, with projections indicating a market size exceeding 1.8 trillion yuan [1] Group 1: Market Growth Projections - The scale of vehicle trade-ins in 2025 is anticipated to exceed 1.8 trillion yuan due to robust trade-in subsidies [1] - New energy vehicle purchase tax incentives of 10% are expected to increase sales by 22% compared to 2024, leading to over 200 billion yuan in tax reductions from sales exceeding 2 trillion yuan [1] - With nearly 400 billion yuan in tax exemptions and subsidies, the automotive market is projected to grow beyond expectations in 2025 [1] Group 2: Future Challenges - In 2026, the reduction of new energy vehicle purchase tax to 5% will result in over 100 billion yuan less in tax benefits, creating significant pressure on market growth [1] - The desire for a strong start to the 14th Five-Year Plan suggests that the end of 2025 should be stable, avoiding excessive depletion of next year's growth potential [1]