Gold ETFs in the Spotlight as 2025 Draws to a Close

Core Insights - Gold has emerged as a top-performing asset class in 2025, hitting over 50 all-time highs and reaching prices above $4,000 per ounce, with a nearly 60% increase since January [1][2] Factors Driving Gold's Rally - Geopolitical instability, particularly conflicts in the Middle East and Eastern Europe, has increased gold's risk premium, contributing approximately 12 percentage points to its year-to-date return [4] - Central banks have been purchasing gold at a record pace, with net purchases expected to reach around 900 tons in 2025, marking a significant structural shift in demand [5] - Macroeconomic factors, including consecutive rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve and a weaker dollar, have favored gold as a non-yielding asset, while fears of an economic recession have heightened its appeal as a hedge [6] - A resurgence in Western investment demand for gold, particularly through ETFs, has created a self-reinforcing cycle of price momentum, significantly contributing to the rally [7] Outlook for Gold - The outlook for gold in 2026 remains bullish, with analysts projecting prices between $4,500 and $5,300 per ounce, driven by sustained demand and central bank buying [8][9] Gold ETFs to Watch - SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) has approximately $141.3 billion in AUM and has surged 60.7% year to date, with a trading volume of 9.06 million shares [12] - iShares Gold Trust (IAU) has $65.7 billion in net assets and has increased 60.9% year to date, with a trading volume of 8.61 million shares [13] - abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF (SGOL) has $7.1 billion in AUM and has risen 61% year to date, with a trading volume of 6.25 million shares [14]