李迅雷解读中央经济工作会议：大国关系成为影响经济重要变量，以苦练内功开展“经贸斗争”

Core Viewpoint - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasizes the transition to a stock economy, highlighting the need for strategic responses to external economic pressures and the importance of balancing domestic economic work with international trade dynamics [1][2][3]. Group 1: Economic Strategy and Policy - The conference indicates a shift in focus towards internal capabilities to address external challenges, with a commitment to "stability while seeking progress" as a guiding principle for economic work [2][3]. - The emphasis on expanding domestic demand is identified as a key strategy to counter external shocks, with specific actions to boost consumer spending and increase residents' income [3][17]. - Investment policies will aim to stabilize and increase central budget investments, aligning with major project launches in the early years of the 14th Five-Year Plan [3][17]. Group 2: Trade and External Relations - The conference acknowledges the deepening impact of external environmental changes, reflecting a more confident stance in dealing with tariffs and technology restrictions [2][16]. - There is a focus on integrating trade and investment, as well as domestic and foreign trade, to enhance resilience in external demand [18]. Group 3: Fiscal and Monetary Policy - The fiscal policy will maintain necessary deficits and debt levels while optimizing project implementation, with expectations for a slight increase in the fiscal deficit rate to 4.2-4.5% [19][20]. - Monetary policy will remain flexible, with anticipated adjustments including a reduction in reserve requirements and interest rates, while also considering price stability as a new objective [20][21]. Group 4: Innovation and Structural Reform - The conference stresses the importance of innovation-driven growth, with initiatives to develop new economic drivers and enhance the quality of existing industries [22][23]. - There is a commitment to reforming the market structure to prevent "involution" and promote a unified national market, ensuring that traditional industries are not neglected in favor of new developments [23]. Group 5: Real Estate and Risk Management - The conference outlines measures to stabilize the real estate market, including targeted policies for inventory reduction and supply optimization [24]. - It also addresses the need to manage risks in key areas such as local government debt and small financial institutions, indicating a proactive approach to financial stability [12][24].