3 Domestic Auto Stocks to Consider Amid Upbeat Demand Outlook

Core Insights - The Zacks Domestic Auto industry is poised for growth driven by affordable electric vehicles (EVs) and proposed tax incentives, despite economic challenges and rising tariffs [1][3][4] Industry Overview - The Zacks Domestic Auto industry encompasses companies involved in the design, manufacturing, and retailing of various vehicles, including passenger cars, trucks, and electric vehicles [2] - The industry is highly consumer cyclic and plays a significant role in employment and innovation, particularly in electric and autonomous vehicle development [2] Factors Shaping the Industry's Prospects - The introduction of more affordable EVs, priced at $35,000 or below, is expected to increase consumer adoption, countering the impact of higher tariffs on foreign competitors [3] - Proposed tax incentives, allowing buyers of U.S.-assembled vehicles to deduct up to $10,000 in interest on auto loans, are anticipated to stimulate demand for new vehicles [4] Market Performance - The Domestic Auto industry has underperformed compared to the broader auto sector and the S&P 500, with a return of 6.3% over the past year, while the sector and S&P 500 grew by 7.1% and 14.5%, respectively [10] Current Valuation - The industry is currently trading at an EV/EBITDA ratio of 53.06X, significantly higher than the S&P 500's 18.63X and the sector's 25.8X, indicating a premium valuation compared to historical levels [13] Company Highlights - General Motors (GM): Holds a 16.5% share of the U.S. auto market, with strong demand for its brands and upcoming product launches expected to drive growth. GM has a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) and positive earnings revisions for 2025 and 2026 [14][15] - Polaris Inc. (PII): Reported $1.8 billion in revenues for Q3 and expects adjusted sales of $6.9 billion to $7.1 billion for 2025. PII also holds a Zacks Rank 1, with significant earnings surprises in recent quarters [20][21] - Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD): Focuses on school buses and alternative fuel applications, projecting fiscal 2026 revenues of $1.5 billion and continued growth. BLBD has a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) and positive earnings revisions for 2026 [23][24]