大宗商品综述：市场情绪疲弱拖累油价走低 黄金上涨 白银和铜创新高

Oil Market - Oil prices fell to the lowest point since October, with WTI crude dropping approximately 1.5% to below $58 per barrel and Brent crude around $61 per barrel, influenced by a decline in U.S. stock markets and disappointing corporate earnings [2][7] - The International Energy Agency (IEA) has revised down its forecast for global oil supply surplus for the next two years, now predicting a surplus of 3.815 million barrels per day by 2026, a decrease of 231,000 barrels per day from the previous month [2][8] Precious Metals - Gold prices increased as traders assessed the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook, with gold rising by 1.2% during U.S. trading hours, while silver surpassed $64 per ounce, reaching a historical high of $64.16 [4][11] - The Federal Reserve's recent 25 basis point rate cut, despite dissent from three officials, has led traders to anticipate further easing, with expectations of two additional rate cuts in 2026 [4][11] Base Metals - Copper prices reached a new record high, climbing 3% to $11,906 per ton, following the Federal Reserve's rate cut and an upward revision of U.S. economic growth forecasts [5][12] - The London Metal Exchange reported a 2.7% increase in copper prices, closing at $11,872 per ton, with other metals also experiencing gains, including a 4.4% rise in tin prices to $41,751 per ton, the highest since April 2022 [6][12]