【环球财经】多家研究机构下调德国经济增长预期

Core Viewpoint - Germany's economic growth forecast for 2025 has been revised down to 0.1%, a decrease from the previous estimate of 0.2%, primarily due to a significant decline in exports to the United States and underwhelming effects from fiscal measures such as the large infrastructure fund established earlier this year [1] Group 1: Economic Forecasts - Multiple key economic research institutions in Germany released winter forecast reports indicating a bleak outlook for the economy [1] - Kiel Institute for the World Economy predicts a 0.2% decline in German exports for 2025, with particularly sharp drops in exports to the U.S. [1] - Munich Institute for Economic Research notes that the ongoing U.S. tariffs are exerting pressure on global trade and the German economy, which is undergoing significant structural changes [1] Group 2: Future Projections - The Munich Institute forecasts economic growth rates of 0.8% and 1.1% for Germany in 2026 and 2027, respectively, both down by 0.5 percentage points from previous estimates [1] - The institutions involved in the forecasts include the Munich Institute, Kiel Institute, Halle Institute, and Leibniz Institute, all of which have repeatedly downgraded their growth expectations for Germany in 2025 due to the impact of U.S. tariffs [1]