马斯克回应SpaceX计划上市报道：“准确无误”

Core Insights - Elon Musk hinted at a potential IPO for SpaceX, with reports suggesting a 2026 listing and a valuation of approximately $800 billion, aiming to raise over $30 billion [1] - Musk disputed the $800 billion valuation, stating that NASA's revenue will account for less than 5% of total income next year, emphasizing that commercial Starlink is the primary revenue source [1] - Insider reports indicate a target valuation of around $1.5 trillion, with a potential fundraising of about $40 billion if 5% of shares are sold, surpassing the record set by Saudi Aramco's IPO [1] Financial Projections - SpaceX is expected to generate approximately $15 billion in revenue in 2025, increasing to between $22 billion and $24 billion in 2026, primarily driven by the Starlink business [2] - Ark Invest projects SpaceX's enterprise value could reach around $2.5 trillion by 2030, with a Monte Carlo simulation providing three valuation scenarios: a base case of $2.5 trillion, a pessimistic case of $1.7 trillion, and an optimistic case of $3.1 trillion [2] Government Relations - Musk may gain a strong ally in the U.S. government's space program with Jared Isaacman likely to become the next NASA administrator, following a committee vote [3] - SpaceX is a major contractor for NASA, but there have been criticisms regarding delays in the Artemis lunar program, with Musk publicly criticizing NASA's acting administrator [3] - Isaacman's re-nomination suggests a restoration of relations between Trump and Musk, indicating potential support for SpaceX's initiatives [3]