Why This Analyst Says the Warner Bros. Deal Is Bad News for Netflix Stock
Yahoo Finance·2025-12-10 18:46

Core Viewpoint - Netflix's potential $72 billion acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery's studio and streaming assets is facing criticism from analysts who highlight risks associated with generative AI disruption in content creation [1][5]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - The deal combines Netflix's 300 million global subscribers with HBO Max's 128 million customers, resulting in a streaming entity that controls approximately 43% of the global subscription video market [3]. - Netflix will pay $23.25 in cash and $4.50 in stock for each Warner Bros. Discovery share, valuing the transaction at $27.75 per share [3][4]. Group 2: Analyst Perspectives - Needham analyst Laura Martin warns that Netflix risks $83 billion in additional value by acquiring Warner Bros.' traditional studio operations amid the threat of AI in content creation [1]. - Martin maintains a "Buy" rating and a $150 price target on Netflix but suggests the company would be better off without the legacy burdens of Warner Bros.' studio business [5]. Group 3: Market Reactions - Netflix's stock has declined nearly 10% over the last five trading sessions as investors consider regulatory and competitive implications of the acquisition [6]. - The deal is under scrutiny from antitrust regulators due to the combined market share, and Paramount has made a $30-per-share all-cash counteroffer to Warner Bros. shareholders [6]. Group 4: Future Plans - Netflix plans to spend around $30 billion annually on content post-merger, positioning itself as the largest entertainment spender globally [8].