研报掘金丨东方证券:维持温氏股份“买入”评级,目标价22.68元
Ge Long Hui A P P·2025-12-12 05:33

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that Wens Foodstuff Group achieved a record high in November 2025 with sales of 4.3535 million pigs, representing a year-on-year increase of 49.71% and a month-on-month increase of 11.83% [1] - The current chicken price remains strong, with expectations of continued support leading up to the Spring Festival, despite a slowdown in industry output growth in Q3 2025 [1] - The report highlights ongoing losses in the pork industry, with prices stabilizing at low levels, and anticipates a market-driven reduction in production capacity due to weak price expectations and policy influences [1] Group 2 - The report projects that the theoretical output of the industry will remain high in December, making it difficult for both fat and piglet prices to improve, thus reinforcing the trend of market-driven capacity reduction [1] - The combination of weak current and expected pork prices, along with policy-driven factors, is expected to accelerate the reduction of production capacity in the hog farming industry, supporting a long-term increase in pork prices [1] - Based on comparable company valuation methods, the report assigns a target price of 22.68 yuan for the company in 2026, maintaining a "buy" rating with a valuation of 14x [1]