新财观 | 坚持内需主导，宏观政策更加积极有为

Group 1 - The central economic work conference emphasizes the implementation of more proactive macro policies to enhance domestic demand and optimize supply, aiming for qualitative and quantitative economic growth in 2026 [1][2] - The focus on domestic demand is reinforced, with a goal to build a strong domestic market, addressing the current issue of insufficient effective demand, as consumer spending in 2023 accounted for only 39.57% of GDP, significantly lower than global and regional averages [2] - The conference highlights the importance of innovation-driven growth, aiming to cultivate new economic drivers, with a focus on sectors like artificial intelligence and semiconductor technology to enhance productivity and address structural challenges [3] Group 2 - The macroeconomic policy is set to be more proactive, with a focus on quality and efficiency, indicating confidence in the resilience of the domestic economy and a reduced need for extraordinary stimulus measures [4] - Fiscal policy is expected to maintain a certain degree of expansion, with a projected fiscal deficit rate between 3.5% and 4% for 2026, emphasizing the integration of existing and new policies to enhance economic governance [5] - A moderately loose monetary policy is anticipated, with expectations for interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions to support economic stability and reasonable price recovery [6] Group 3 - The real estate sector is shifting from being an economic engine to a cornerstone of people's livelihoods, with policies aimed at promoting quality housing and new development models [7] - The capital market is expected to maintain a stable upward trend, supported by ongoing reforms in investment and financing, contributing to wealth preservation and economic transformation [8]