AFR(SZ:300620) Xin Lang Zheng Quan·2025-12-12 09:25Core Viewpoint - The optical communication industry is experiencing a surge in capital interest, driven by the demand for AI computing power, with companies like Guangku Technology planning significant financing and high-premium acquisitions to expand their market position [2][3]. Financing and Acquisition - Guangku Technology's recent shareholder meeting approved a financing plan to raise approximately 19.5 billion for acquiring 99.97% of Suzhou Anjie Xun Optoelectronics, with 16.4 billion allocated for the acquisition and the remainder for working capital and debt repayment [3][4]. - The acquisition of Anjie Xun is characterized by a high premium, with an assessed value of 16.5 billion against a book value of 2.26 billion, resulting in a valuation increase of 630.26% [4]. Financial Health and Risks - Despite previous fundraising efforts, Guangku Technology's debt levels and debt ratios are projected to rise significantly after 2024, raising concerns about financial sustainability [9][10]. - The company has a history of high-premium acquisitions, with a previous acquisition of 52% of Bai'an Industrial at a premium rate of 1192.56% [4][5]. - The goodwill on Guangku Technology's balance sheet is expected to increase significantly, from 1.1 billion at the end of 2023 to potentially over 14 billion post-acquisition, indicating a heavy reliance on major clients [8]. Industry Context - The optical communication sector is poised for growth, with the CPO market expected to reach 8.1 billion by 2030, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 137% [13]. - Despite the industry's growth, Guangku Technology's previous fundraising projects have faced delays, with key projects now expected to be completed in 2026, raising questions about the effectiveness of its capital allocation [13].