探访寒潮下的菜篮子：供应充足，价格不会暴涨

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of a cold wave and rising CPI on vegetable prices in Jinan and North China, highlighting the current stability in vegetable prices despite potential future increases due to transportation costs and supply fluctuations [1][3]. Group 1: Current Market Conditions - The vegetable market in Jinan is currently characterized by stable prices and sufficient supply, with consumers purchasing more durable vegetables like cabbage, radishes, and potatoes [1]. - Local sources are supporting the market, with minimal reliance on external supplies, and merchants are following a "daily procurement, daily sales" model without stockpiling [1]. - Major supermarkets have not yet announced price adjustments and will respond dynamically to market conditions following the cold wave [1]. Group 2: Price Stability and Government Measures - Prices for perishable vegetables remain stable, with examples such as spinach at 3 yuan per jin, coriander at 5 yuan per jin, and celery at 2 yuan per jin, indicating limited expected price increases even with rising transportation costs [3]. - The Jinan Agricultural and Rural Bureau has proactively addressed potential challenges by implementing measures for agricultural facility safety and emergency heating to ensure vegetable supply stability [3]. Group 3: Economic Analysis - Professor Zhu Jin from Jinan University explains that vegetable price volatility significantly impacts the CPI due to the strong consumer demand and limited substitutes, despite vegetables only accounting for 2% of the CPI [4]. - The food category constitutes about 20% of the CPI, meaning significant increases in vegetable prices can elevate the overall food index and subsequently the CPI [4]. - Zhu notes that urban residents' increasing income levels have led to a decrease in the Engel coefficient, allowing for better resilience against seasonal vegetable price fluctuations through alternative product choices [6]. Group 4: Government Response and Future Outlook - The current situation is seen as a routine test of Jinan's emergency supply capabilities, with the government emphasizing the importance of the "vegetable basket" project and having mature emergency plans to mitigate short-term price volatility [6].