财信证券首席经济学家袁闯：政策护航提质增效 关注科技成长核心主线

Group 1 - The central economic work conference emphasizes a continuation of proactive macro policies, including more active fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy, to support economic recovery and stabilize the capital market [1] - The focus for 2026 is on improving quality and efficiency, with core directions being economic structure adjustment, industrial structure optimization, and technological self-reliance, reinforcing the long-term logic of "technology growth" in the A-share market [1] - The external environment is improving with resilient overseas economies and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, while domestic "dual easing" policies are likely to continue, leading to a weak recovery in the economy [1] Group 2 - The technology growth sector remains the core focus for medium to long-term investment, with the AI industry chain expected to shift from hardware to application, particularly in media, computing, and internet sectors [2] - Four specific investment themes are highlighted: high dividend assets in white goods, banks, and telecoms; improvement in coal, steel, and solar industries driven by "anti-involution" policies; new consumption areas like health and pet economy alongside travel and aviation; and resource sectors benefiting from rising commodity prices [2] - The A-share market is expected to continue its upward trend in 2026, supported by policies, improved internal and external environments, and structural optimization, with a focus on technology growth and advantageous sectors [2]