Can MRK's New Drugs & Pipeline Help Navigate the Looming Keytruda LOE?
MerckMerck(US:MRK) ZACKS·2025-12-12 16:05

Core Viewpoint - Merck is strategically focusing on long-term growth through new product launches and a robust pipeline as its leading drug, Keytruda, is set to lose patent protection in 2028 [1][2]. Pipeline and Product Development - Keytruda, which accounts for over 50% of Merck's pharmaceutical sales, generated $23.3 billion in sales during the first nine months of 2025, reflecting an 8% year-over-year increase [2]. - The company's phase III pipeline has nearly tripled since 2021, with plans to launch around 20 new vaccines and drugs in the coming years, many of which have blockbuster potential [3][11]. - Notable new products include the 21-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine, Capvaxive, and the pulmonary arterial hypertension drug, Winrevair, both of which are expected to significantly contribute to revenue post-Keytruda exclusivity [4][11]. Strategic Mergers and Acquisitions - Merck has engaged in substantial M&A activities, including a recent agreement to acquire Cidara Therapeutics for $9.2 billion, which will enhance its portfolio with CD388 for seasonal influenza prevention [7][8]. - Earlier this year, Merck acquired Verona Pharma for $10 billion, adding Ohtuvayre, a novel treatment for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease [8]. Competitive Landscape - Keytruda faces competition from other PD-L1 inhibitors such as Bristol Myers' Opdivo, Roche's Tecentriq, and AstraZeneca's Imfinzi, which are also approved for multiple cancer types [10][12][13]. Financial Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, Merck's shares have decreased by 0.4%, underperforming the industry average of 13.6% [14]. - The company's price/earnings ratio stands at 11.22, which is lower than the industry average of 16.59 and its 5-year mean of 12.51, indicating a potentially attractive valuation [15]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings per share has slightly increased from $8.94 to $8.98, while the estimate for 2026 has decreased from $9.46 to $8.81 [18].