Don't Buy D-Wave Quantum Stock Until This Happens

Core Insights - D-Wave Quantum is recognized as a leader in quantum computing systems, software, and services, with its stock value nearly tripling since the start of 2025, despite ongoing losses [1] - The stock experienced a significant increase of about 450% year-to-date until mid-October, followed by a decline of over 39% in just over seven weeks, raising concerns about investor confidence [2] Financial Developments - D-Wave issued an ultimatum to stock warrant holders, allowing them to either exercise warrants at $11.50 or redeem them for $0.01, resulting in 4.7 million warrants exercised and 6.9 million new shares sold, raising $54.6 million [3][4] - The company now has approximately $850 million in cash, sufficient to sustain operations for the next 15 years at a cash burn rate of $55 million per year [4][5] Future Profitability - Analysts project that D-Wave is about five years away from achieving its first GAAP net profit and positive free cash flow, expected in 2030 [5] - The potential for positive free cash flow occurring a decade before a cash crunch suggests a favorable outlook for the stock [6] Stock Issuance Concerns - Despite having enough cash to reach breakeven, D-Wave continues to issue new stock, raising questions about the necessity of further dilution of shareholder value [8][9] - The number of outstanding shares has increased dramatically from about 3 million to over 350 million in the past four years, indicating a substantial cash raise beyond immediate needs [9]