科技股低迷美股开启板块轮动,年末行情如何演绎
Di Yi Cai Jing·2025-12-13 00:12

Group 1 - The cyclical sectors, including financials, are regaining investor interest as market sentiment shifts towards small-cap and value stocks amid concerns over AI growth potential and valuation risks following Oracle and Broadcom's earnings reports [1][2] - Oracle's recent quarterly revenue was weak, with high capital expenditures and long-term lease commitments, leading to a nearly 16% drop in stock price over two trading days, which also negatively impacted other AI-related companies like Nvidia and Micron [2] - Broadcom's stock fell over 10% despite exceeding revenue and profit expectations, as concerns grew over its largest customer, Google, potentially increasing in-house chip development, and rising storage chip prices affecting profit margins [2][3] Group 2 - Broadcom secured significant contracts, including a $21 billion deal for custom chips from Anthropic, despite a recent stock decline, with a year-to-date increase of over 57% [3] - The current enterprise value to forward core earnings ratio for Broadcom is approximately 32 times, compared to Nvidia's 19.6 times and AMD's 30.2 times, indicating a premium valuation [3] - Recent market trends show a divergence in stock performance, with small-cap indices like Russell 2000 and sectors like healthcare outperforming the S&P 500, suggesting a rotation of funds from large-cap tech stocks to other areas [3][4] Group 3 - Investors net bought $3.3 billion in U.S. equity funds over the past week, with significant inflows into metals and mining, industrials, and healthcare funds [4] - Market analysts believe that as long as no unexpected disruptions occur, the holiday season may bring a favorable market outlook, driven by signals of economic resilience from the Federal Reserve [4] - Goldman Sachs strategists maintain a long-term target for the S&P 500 index at around 7600 points by 2026, supported by steady economic growth and the widespread application of AI technology in business [5]