本周美储迎来第三次降息 白银来到“60+”阶段

Group 1 - The core event of the week was the Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, lowering the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.50% to 3.75%, which aligned with market expectations [1] - The market's focus shifted to the policy statement and Chairman Powell's press conference, where the dot plot indicated that the federal funds rate is expected to drop to 3.4% by the end of 2026, suggesting only one rate cut next year [1] - Powell emphasized significant downside risks to the U.S. labor market, which was interpreted as a dovish signal, leading some traders to bet on two rate cuts next year instead of the one indicated by the dot plot [1] Group 2 - Silver prices have successfully broken through the upper boundary of a rising channel that has constrained its movement since the 2022 low, entering a third rising channel, indicating a potential continuation of bullish sentiment [2] - If the upward trend continues, silver prices could first reach $65 per ounce and then possibly challenge the $69 per ounce level, which is a significant resistance point based on Fibonacci extension [2] - Conversely, if silver prices fall below the upper boundary of the second rising channel (below $57), it may trigger a corrective trend, with potential targets for a pullback at $55, $50, and in extreme cases, down to $45, before the bull market trend could resume [2]