Di Yi Cai Jing·2025-12-13 06:52Core Viewpoint - The Chinese economy is expected to perform better than anticipated in 2025, with a projected GDP of approximately 140 trillion yuan, and policies will be implemented in 2026 to further stimulate economic growth based on evolving circumstances [1][3]. Economic Performance - The year 2025 is significant for China's modernization, with major economic indicators exceeding expectations. The economy is projected to grow around 5%, maintaining China's position as the largest engine of global economic growth [2]. - The economy has shown resilience and vitality, with stable employment, rapid growth in foreign trade, and significant advancements in modern industrial systems, particularly in AI, biomedicine, and robotics [2]. Policy Implementation - In 2024, a series of policies will be introduced to enhance economic stability, focusing on the integration of existing and new policies to promote steady economic growth [4]. - The government aims to maintain a balance between fiscal deficits and debt levels while implementing proactive fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies to support domestic demand [9]. Risk Management - Progress has been made in mitigating risks in key areas, including the orderly replacement of local government hidden debts and the completion of housing delivery tasks [5]. Economic Strategy - The government emphasizes five key strategies for economic work: 1. Fully explore economic potential by expanding consumption and investment [6]. 2. Combine policy support with reform innovation to address intertwined economic issues [6]. 3. Ensure effective regulation while promoting market-driven resource allocation [7]. 4. Invest in both physical and human capital to enhance overall development [8]. 5. Strengthen internal capabilities to face external challenges [8]. Trade and Innovation - The government plans to promote both exports and imports, encouraging service exports and developing digital and green trade to ensure sustainable foreign trade growth [10]. - The focus will be on innovation-driven growth, with efforts to expand major international science and technology innovation centers to foster original innovation [11]. Consumer and Education Policies - Policies will be implemented to boost consumer spending, including enhancing the supply of quality goods and services and optimizing the consumption environment for inbound tourism [12]. - Education policies will aim to increase high school enrollment and improve the quality of higher education to adapt to demographic changes [14]. Green Development - The government will accelerate the construction of a new energy system and expand the application of green electricity, marking a transition towards carbon emission control [16].