世行、IMF、亚行等多个国际机构，一致看好中国经济发展

Group 1: Economic Growth Forecasts - Multiple international institutions have raised their forecasts for China's economic growth in 2025, with the World Bank increasing its estimate by 0.4 percentage points, the International Monetary Fund by 0.2 percentage points, and the Asian Development Bank by 0.1 percentage points [1][5] - The OECD has also adjusted its GDP growth forecast for China in 2025 to 5%, highlighting productivity improvements driven by artificial intelligence and consumption expansion as key factors [4][8] Group 2: Export Performance - China's export market has become more diversified, which supports the resilience of its exports, as noted by the World Bank [2][6] - In the first 11 months of 2025, China's goods trade surplus exceeded 1 trillion USD for the first time, with double-digit growth in exports to Europe, Australia, and Southeast Asia in November [2][7] - Goldman Sachs projects that despite the impact of U.S. tariffs, China's actual exports are expected to grow by approximately 8% for the year, indicating strong competitiveness of Chinese products across various industries [2][7] Group 3: High-Tech Export Growth - Goldman Sachs has observed a steady growth in China's high-tech exports, particularly in sectors such as chips, semiconductors, automobiles, and auto parts, which continues to drive resilient export-oriented growth [3][7] Group 4: Domestic Economic Resilience - The IMF's president has indicated that China is implementing targeted measures to expand domestic demand, including enhancing social security systems and increasing support for elderly care and childcare, which will improve mid-term growth prospects [4][8] - Deloitte's report on specific industries in China predicts that increased policy support could lead to a rebound in domestic demand [4][8] - Barclays Bank emphasizes that China presents numerous investment opportunities due to stimulus measures and adjustments in national industrial structure, particularly in high-tech sectors like solar panels, lithium batteries, and wind power equipment [4][8]