2026年中国经济怎么干？这场重磅年会最新解读

Core Viewpoint - The 2025-2026 China Economic Annual Conference highlighted the significance of this year in the context of China's modernization process, with expectations of achieving major economic and social development goals [2][5]. Economic Performance - China's economic output is projected to reach approximately 140 trillion yuan this year, reflecting a robust performance that exceeds expectations [4][5]. - Many institutions forecast a GDP growth rate of around 5% for the year, positioning China as the largest engine of global economic growth [5]. Trade and Policy - The conference emphasized the need to expand both exports and imports, promoting sustainable foreign trade development [7][8]. - There is a focus on enhancing service exports and developing digital and green trade [8]. Income and Economic Growth - The government aims to synchronize the growth of residents' income with economic growth, implementing proactive fiscal policies and maintaining a stable macroeconomic environment [9]. - Policies will include maintaining necessary fiscal deficits and debt levels while ensuring the stability of the RMB exchange rate [9]. Consumption and Market Dynamics - The "old for new" consumption policy has spurred rapid sales growth in related goods, with the penetration rate of new energy vehicles nearing 60% [11]. - There is a plan to implement actions to boost consumption and increase the supply of quality goods and services [11]. Green Development - The conference underscored the importance of green development as a foundation for high-quality growth, with plans to accelerate the construction of a new energy system and expand the application of green electricity [12]. Education and Employment - There is a need to increase the supply of ordinary high school places and improve undergraduate enrollment in quality universities to adapt to changes in the school-age population [13]. - Employment policies will focus on stabilizing job opportunities for key groups, including college graduates and migrant workers [13]. Corporate Environment - The government will continue to address issues related to overdue payments to enterprises and enhance the regulatory environment to foster fair competition [14].