3 Bold Stock Market Predictions for 2026

Investment Themes for 2025 - The article discusses three investment themes to consider for the upcoming year, focusing on potential shifts in market dynamics and company performance [1] Defense Stocks Underperformance - Major defense companies, including Lockheed Martin, have underperformed the market despite increased military spending due to geopolitical conflicts [2][3] - Profit margin pressures are significant, particularly on fixed-price development programs, leading to multibillion-dollar losses for companies like Boeing and Lockheed Martin [4] - Long-term pressures on margins may persist, and future government debt levels could negatively impact defense spending sentiment by 2026 [5] Shift in AI Investment Focus - The focus of AI investments is expected to shift from infrastructure companies to those embedding AI into their solutions, as seen with companies like PTC [7][9] - The AI theme is evolving, with a need to reassess valuations rather than viewing it as a bubble, especially as companies like Caterpillar have seen inflated valuations due to AI exposure [8][9]