1 Quantum Computing Stock That Could Make a Monstrous Comeback in 2026
IonQIonQ(US:IONQ) The Motley Fool·2025-12-14 10:00

Core Viewpoint - IonQ's stock has experienced significant volatility, peaking in October 2024 and then declining sharply at the start of 2025, reflecting the broader instability in the quantum computing sector, which is still in its early stages of commercial viability [2][3]. Company Overview - IonQ is a prominent player in the quantum computing space, utilizing a trapped ion technology that offers higher accuracy compared to competitors using superconducting methods. IonQ has achieved a 99.99% 2-qubit gate fidelity, which is a critical measure of accuracy [5][8]. - Despite a 30% increase in stock value in 2025, IonQ's stock was previously up 96%, indicating substantial fluctuations [3]. Market Position and Competition - IonQ holds a competitive edge with its accuracy, as most rivals struggle to achieve 99.9% 2-qubit gate fidelity. However, the commercial application of quantum computing is projected to be several years away, with 2030 being a target year for broader availability [8][11]. - Competitors using superconducting technology may not match IonQ's accuracy but have faster processing speeds, which could become advantageous if they close the accuracy gap [9][10]. Future Outlook - IonQ's success in 2026 hinges on two main factors: the market's risk appetite and IonQ's ability to maintain or enhance its accuracy lead over competitors. A shift towards risk aversion in the market could negatively impact IonQ's stock performance [11]. - If IonQ can further improve its accuracy and establish a first-mover advantage, it could position itself favorably in the market, potentially leading to significant investment returns [11][12].