产销两旺 价格看涨 磷酸铁锂行业掀锁单扩产潮
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang·2025-12-14 13:27

Core Viewpoint - The lithium iron phosphate (LFP) industry has experienced a strong recovery since 2025, characterized by robust production and sales, with leading companies seeing a surge in orders and operating at full capacity [1] Market Performance - Since the third quarter, the LFP business has shown strong production and sales across the industry, with companies like Beijing Easpring Material Technology Co., Ltd. reporting profitability and becoming mainstream suppliers in the domestic LFP battery market, primarily focusing on overseas applications [2] - From January to November, China's cumulative installation of LFP batteries reached 545.5 GWh, accounting for 81.2% of total installations, with a year-on-year growth of 56.7% [2] - Several LFP companies are planning price increases due to supply-demand imbalances and rising raw material costs, with some already adjusting product prices [2] Price Adjustments and Profitability - A major manufacturer has announced a uniform increase in processing fees for all LFP products starting in 2026, which is expected to improve profitability for lithium battery manufacturers previously operating at low margins [3] - The rise in LFP prices is anticipated to help some companies turn losses into profits [3] Industry Trends and Competition - The rapid iteration of LFP materials towards high-pressure density is gaining market traction, with significant demand for high-pressure LFP as a means to enhance battery energy density [3] - The competitive landscape is shifting, with leading companies leveraging technological and scale advantages, while smaller firms face greater challenges due to high technical barriers and cost pressures, potentially leading to increased industry concentration [3] Expansion and Contracts - The LFP industry is witnessing a wave of long-term contracts and capacity expansions, with companies like Jiangsu Longpan Technology signing a long-term procurement agreement to supply 106,800 tons of LFP materials from 2026 to 2030 [4] - Hunan Youneng has received approval for a stock issuance aimed at raising up to 4.788 billion yuan for capacity construction of LFP and manganese iron phosphate materials [5] - Ningbo Ronbay New Energy Technology plans to acquire a 54.97% stake in Guizhou Xinren and invest 140 million yuan to enhance its production capabilities [5] Capacity Development - Shandong Fengyuan Chemical has established a total LFP capacity of 225,000 tons, with an additional 75,000 tons under construction, and plans to adjust capacity based on industry trends and customer demand [6] - Zhongwei New Materials has developed an integrated layout from upstream resources to downstream production, achieving a total LFP capacity of 50,000 tons [6] - The current expansion in the LFP industry is characterized by high-end, integrated, and international features, with competitive advantages in technology, supply chain, cost, and overseas layout being crucial for success [6]