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Group 1 - Global capital markets experienced a significant downturn, with declines in US stocks, gold, and silver on December 12, followed by a general drop in cryptocurrencies on December 14 [1] - Bitcoin (BTC) was priced at $88,939.4, down 1.33%, with a market cap of $504.19 billion, while Ethereum (ETH) fell 1.04% to $3,077.86, with a market cap of $432.50 billion [2] - Over 92,000 liquidations occurred within 24 hours, indicating heightened volatility in the cryptocurrency market [2][3] Group 2 - There are two major uncertainties affecting the market: the unclear stance of the Federal Reserve regarding interest rate cuts in January and the potential nomination of Kevin Walsh as the next Fed Chair, supported by influential figures [4] - The probability of Walsh being nominated for Fed Chair increased by 17 to 24 percentage points in prediction markets, although Kevin Hassett remains the frontrunner with over 50% probability [5] - Market expectations indicate a 24.4% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut by January 2026, with a 75.69% probability of maintaining current rates, reflecting a cautious outlook on monetary policy [5] Group 3 - The upcoming central bank decisions from major economies, including the UK and European Central Bank on December 18, are anticipated to add further uncertainty to the market [6] - The Bank of Japan is expected to implement a significant interest rate hike, contrasting with the global trend of rate cuts observed over the past year [6]