“无限期冻结”俄资产 欧盟缘何“孤注一掷”

Core Viewpoint - The European Union (EU) has announced an "indefinite freeze" on Russian assets within its territory, aiming to facilitate financing for Ukraine while facing significant international legal controversy and strong condemnation from Russia [1][2][4]. Group 1: EU's Decision and Implications - The EU Council decided to "indefinitely freeze" Russian assets, with the freeze lasting until Russia ends its conflict with Ukraine and compensates for damages [2]. - Approximately €300 billion of Russian overseas assets have been frozen by Western countries since the escalation of the Ukraine crisis in February 2022, with the EU specifically freezing around €210 billion of these assets [2][3]. - The indefinite freeze is seen as a way to secure funds for Ukraine without the risk of member states' disagreements leading to a "softening" of the freeze [2][3]. Group 2: Financial and Negotiation Consequences - The EU's decision is viewed as a response to its own financial constraints, as it faces a budget shortfall for supporting Ukraine, which may become evident by February 2026 [3]. - The freezing of Russian assets is also perceived as a strategic move to ensure the EU's position at the negotiation table regarding the Russia-Ukraine conflict [3][4]. - Analysts warn that this action could damage the EU's credibility and hinder negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, as it sets a dangerous precedent for the international financial system [4][5]. Group 3: Russian Response - Russia has vowed to retaliate against the EU's actions, claiming that the handling of its sovereign assets without consent violates international law [5][6]. - The Russian Central Bank has initiated legal proceedings against the European Clearing Bank for compensation related to the asset freeze [6]. - Russian officials have indicated that the EU's indefinite freeze could lead to a series of countermeasures, suggesting that the issue will extend beyond legal disputes [6].