【黄金收评】究竟怎么回事?金价暴涨51美元 美联储这则意外大消息引爆市场
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-12-15 04:16

Core Viewpoint - The recent Federal Reserve decision to cut interest rates and initiate a "mini quantitative easing" has led to a significant surge in gold prices, reaching a one-month high, while silver has also hit a record high [1][2][3]. Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point cut in the federal funds rate, bringing it to a target range of 3.50%-3.75% [7]. - A "mini QE" program will begin on December 12, involving the purchase of approximately $40 billion in short-term Treasury bills to manage market liquidity [2][10]. - Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated that the labor market faces risks and downplayed inflation concerns, suggesting that further rate hikes are unlikely in the near future [7][9]. Market Reactions - Following the Fed's announcement, the dollar index fell to an eight-week low, making gold cheaper for overseas buyers, which contributed to the rise in gold prices [3][9]. - Gold prices closed up $51.17, or 1.21%, at $4,279.64 per ounce, with a notable increase in momentum due to the Fed's actions [2][12]. - Silver prices also surged, reaching a high of $64.31 per ounce, driven by strong market sentiment [6]. Economic Indicators - The U.S. initial jobless claims unexpectedly rose to 236,000, the largest increase since July 2021, indicating a cooling labor market [11]. - The 10-year Treasury yield dropped by 3 basis points to 4.122%, and the real yield fell nearly 2.5 basis points to 1.872%, supporting the rise in gold prices [3][9]. Technical Analysis - Analysts suggest that if gold closes above $4,300 per ounce, it could challenge $4,350 and potentially reach the historical high of $4,381 [12]. - Key support levels for gold are identified at $4,250 and $4,200 per ounce, with further support at the 20-day simple moving average at $4,158 per ounce [14].