巴基斯坦媒体：中国的发展轨迹展示出了两点

Core Insights - China's macroeconomic stability and sustainable development have led to numerous international organizations raising their GDP growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026 [1][2][4] Economic Growth Forecasts - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised China's GDP growth forecast for 2025 to 5.0%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from October, reflecting structural reforms and policy stimulus [1] - The Asian Development Bank has also increased its 2025 growth forecast for China by 0.1 percentage points, citing resilient exports and ongoing fiscal policy support [1] - The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has similarly raised its 2025 growth forecast for China to 5% [1] - Standard Chartered Bank has adjusted its 2026 GDP growth forecast for China from 4.3% to 4.6%, attributing this to improvements in total factor productivity and strong export performance [2] Economic Policy and Structural Reforms - The Central Economic Work Conference held in December outlined the policy direction for 2026 as "seeking progress while maintaining stability," emphasizing eight key tasks including domestic demand, innovation, reform, and opening up [2] - Innovation is expected to remain a key driver of China's development, with plans to establish international technology innovation centers in key regions [2] Trade and Export Performance - From January to November 2025, China's total import and export volume reached 41.21 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.6% [3] - In the first three quarters of 2025, China's GDP grew by 5.2%, with industrial value-added increasing by 6.2% year-on-year [3] - China's exports grew by 5.7% in November, demonstrating resilience despite external pressures [3] Advanced Manufacturing and Global Trade Position - China's advanced manufacturing sectors, including electric vehicles, solar panels, semiconductors, and digital technology hardware, are becoming key drivers of export growth [3] - These industries, rooted in green technology and supported by an advanced industrial system, are reshaping China's position in global trade [3][4]