抢跑2026主线机会

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing pessimism due to overseas market disturbances, but there is active buying interest in the Hong Kong Internet ETF (513770), which has seen significant net inflows over the past week [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance and Trends - The Hong Kong stock market showed strong performance in early 2025, driven by significant inflows from southbound funds and the success of DeepSeek, with two notable market rallies occurring from January to March and July to October [3]. - The Hong Kong Internet ETF (513770) has recorded a net inflow of 585 million yuan over the past seven days, indicating a positive sentiment among investors despite recent price declines [1][4]. Group 2: Investment Outlook - East Wu Securities forecasts a continued recovery for the Hong Kong stock market in 2026, supported by factors such as expected interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and a temporary easing of Sino-U.S. relations [4]. - The focus remains on AI technology, with potential for significant growth in Chinese AI companies if they exceed expectations, similar to the impact of DeepSeek [3][4]. - The Hong Kong Internet ETF (513770) is heavily invested in leading companies like Alibaba, Tencent, and Xiaomi, with over 73% of its top holdings in AI cloud computing and related sectors, highlighting its strong market position [4]. Group 3: Fund Characteristics - The Hong Kong Internet ETF (513770) has a scale exceeding 10 billion yuan and an average daily trading volume of over 600 million yuan, providing good liquidity and supporting T+0 trading [4]. - For investors seeking to reduce volatility while still gaining exposure to technology, the Hong Kong Large Cap 30 ETF (520560) is recommended, combining high-growth tech stocks with stable dividend-paying companies [4]. Group 4: Historical Index Performance - The performance of the China Securities Hong Kong Internet Index over the past five years has been volatile, with annual returns of 109.31% in 2020, -36.61% in 2021, -23.01% in 2022, -24.74% in 2023, and a recovery of 23.04% in 2024 [5].