5%！多家机构对中国经济投下“信心票”

Core Viewpoint - The resilience and potential of the Chinese economy will further be released, bringing more stability and certainty to the global economy [1] Economic Growth Expectations - The World Bank and IMF have raised their growth forecasts for the Chinese economy, with the World Bank increasing its 2025 growth forecast by 0.4 percentage points and the IMF projecting a 5% growth for 2025, up by 0.2 percentage points from its previous report [3] - The confidence from these international institutions reflects the solid foundation of stability and strong momentum in the Chinese economy, supported by effective government policies [3] Domestic Demand and Investment - The government is stimulating domestic consumption through measures such as issuing consumption vouchers and optimizing the consumption environment, leading to an increase in consumer willingness and capacity [4] - Fiscal policies are precisely targeting infrastructure and industrial upgrades, with infrastructure investments improving livelihoods and industrial upgrades focusing on high-end manufacturing and green low-carbon sectors [4] Export Resilience - China's diversified export market strategy has effectively mitigated external risks, with a reported 4.1% year-on-year growth in total goods trade in November 2025 [4] - The export structure is improving, with significant growth in electric vehicles, photovoltaics, and lithium batteries, and the share of electromechanical and high-tech products in total exports surpassing 60% [4] Innovation and Industrial Upgrades - Innovation is identified as the core engine driving progress, with significant advancements in original innovations and a notable rise in the global innovation index ranking [5] - Traditional industries are undergoing transformation through digitalization and green initiatives, enhancing efficiency and competitiveness in both domestic and international markets [5] Policy and Market Confidence - The recognition of the collaborative effect of policies and market dynamics is evident, with the government adopting more proactive and predictable macroeconomic policies [6] - The increase in private investment in sectors such as automotive manufacturing and transportation equipment indicates a recovery in market confidence [6] Future Outlook - Looking ahead to the "15th Five-Year Plan," the Chinese economy is expected to continue on a path of high-quality development, contributing significantly to global growth [6]