Core Viewpoint - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasizes the need for a balanced approach to economic policy, focusing on both short-term support and long-term structural reforms to stimulate economic potential and address external challenges [1][2]. Group 1: Economic Policy Framework - The 2026 policy will exhibit more pronounced "cross-cycle" characteristics, with interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions remaining viable policy tools [2]. - The conference introduced five new "musts" for economic policy, including the need to fully tap economic potential and to combine policy support with reform innovation [2][3]. - The focus on balancing total supply and demand, as well as enhancing quality while expanding total volume, will significantly influence the macro policy framework for 2025 [2]. Group 2: Monetary Policy - The implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy is to continue, with a focus on stabilizing economic growth and ensuring reasonable price recovery [3]. - The use of various policy tools, including interest rate cuts and reserve requirement reductions, is expected to be flexible and efficient, indicating that these remain options for policy action [3]. - Financial institutions are encouraged to support key areas such as expanding domestic demand, technological innovation, and small and medium-sized enterprises, reflecting the priority of domestic demand in financial policy [3].
广发证券郭磊:2026年政策的“跨周期”特征将更明显,降息降准仍是政策工具选项