日本央行或“降息” 沪银警惕波动风险

Group 1 - Silver futures are currently trading above 14640, with a recent opening at 14974 and a current price of 14720, reflecting a decrease of 0.37% [1] - The highest price reached was 15192, while the lowest was 14237, indicating a short-term bullish trend in silver futures [1] - The Shanghai Futures Exchange has adjusted the margin ratios and price fluctuation limits for silver futures contracts, increasing the fluctuation limit to 15% and the margin for holding positions to 16% [2] Group 2 - The Bank of Japan's Tankan survey indicates ongoing inflationary pressures, leading to expectations of an interest rate hike from 0.5% to 0.75%, a level not seen in 30 years [2] - The anticipated rate hike may trigger a wave of unwinding in "yen carry trades," potentially exerting significant pressure on global risk assets, particularly dollar-denominated assets [2] - The silver market is characterized by lower liquidity, making it more susceptible to large capital movements, which could increase future volatility [2]