Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-12-15 11:53Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a collective pullback, with the ChiNext Index leading the decline at 1.77%. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.77 trillion yuan, a decrease of 318.8 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1][22]. - Despite the overall market decline, sectors such as commercial aerospace and satellite internet remained strong, with the Aerospace Electronics stock hitting a historical high and the National Defense and Military Industry ETF (512810) rising by 1.54%, reaching a two-month high [1][6]. Sector Performance - The National Defense and Military Industry ETF (512810) saw significant inflows, with a net inflow of 6.181 billion yuan, the highest among 31 first-tier industries, and a total of 19.778 billion yuan over the past five days [28][29]. - The Food ETF (515710) also showed resilience, with a peak increase of 1.36% during the day and a total inflow of 65.61 million yuan over the past five days, driven by a recovery in liquor prices, particularly for Moutai [1][33]. - The brokerage sector is expected to distribute nearly 9 billion yuan in dividends, with 80% of listed brokerages planning at least two dividend distributions this year [1][22]. Investment Strategies - Analysts suggest focusing on three key areas for investment: growth sectors benefiting from industrial policy support (e.g., domestic production, robotics, aerospace), cyclical sectors benefiting from "anti-involution" policies (e.g., chemicals, energy metals), and consumer sectors that may see a boost from deepened consumption policies [25]. - The National Defense and Military Industry sector is rated as "overweight" by institutions, with a focus on core assets in commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy, and military AI [30][32]. Future Outlook - The market sentiment is supported by recent meetings of the Federal Reserve and domestic policy-making bodies, which align with market expectations. Historical data suggests that the A-share market tends to perform well in the first year of the 13th and 14th Five-Year Plans, indicating potential for a strong cross-year market [24][25]. - The banking sector is also positioned for recovery, with all 42 listed banks currently trading below their net asset value, suggesting a potential for valuation recovery [19].